Your weather forecast for the stock market

📋 Driptometer Blog Post Post #031 | Topic: Inflation Shock, Tech Sell-Off & Macro Risk Signals Hot Inflation Data, an AI Sell-Off and $110 Oil: What the Stock Market Indicators Are Saying Published: October 20, 2026 | Category: Market Indicators & Risk Management The S&P 500 slipped about 2% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped nearly 4.5% last week. Meanwhile, the VIX spiked to its highest weekly close since July, and Brent crude briefly crossed $110 a barrel. Here is a clear look at how market risk indicators read a week where market sentiment shifted fast. Three weeks ago, the overarching theme was a quiet VIX sitting comfortably beneath a market rally that was gradually losing breadth. That quiet period just broke. Hotter-than-expected inflation numbers, sharp profit-taking across AI chipmakers, and crude oil climbing back over $100 gave investors plenty to weigh up. When headlines raise questions about market stability, the most effective approach is to exam...

📋 Driptometer Blog Post Post #030 | Topic: Market Breadth, Yields & Macro Risk Weak Jobs, Record Nasdaq, 5.3% Yields: Why Only 38% of Stocks Are in Uptrends Published: October 17, 2026 | Category: Market Indicators & Risk Management A surprisingly weak jobs report cooled Fed rate-hike bets, and the Nasdaq punched to a record earlier this week. But Treasury yields stayed near 19-year highs and the share of S&P 500 stocks above their 200-day average has dropped to about 38%. Here's what Driptometer's signals are showing. If you only glanced at the headlines over recent days, you'd think the stock market was cruising: mega-cap tech and the Nasdaq hit fresh records. Look underneath, though, and a different picture appears. That gap is exactly why anyone asking "is the stock market going to crash?" is better served by checking several stock market indicators at once. The one-line version: Recent payrolls grew by just 29,000 jobs (versus ro...

📋 Driptometer Blog Post Post #029 | Topic: The Yield Curve & Inverted Yield Curve What Is an Inverted Yield Curve? The Stock Market Indicator With the Scariest Track Record Published: October 11, 2026 | Category: Market Indicators It's a line on a chart made of government bonds. It has also preceded almost every US recession of the last fifty years. Here's how to read it in plain English. Ask a room of professional investors to name the one stock market indicator they'd keep if they could only have one, and a surprising number will pick something that isn't a stock at all. They'll pick the yield curve . It sounds like something from a textbook. It isn't. It's one of the most human charts in finance—a picture of how nervous lenders are about the near future. The one-line version: The yield curve compares what the government pays to borrow money for a short time versus a long time. Normally, longer loans pay more. When that flips—short...